An increase of 1.5 degrees may occur in the short term

(CNN) – Probability The average temperature of the earth According to the world’s leading meteorological and climate system, even a critical point is temporarily rising.

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Thursday that the annual average global temperature is 40% more likely to reach at least 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels in at least one of the next five years.

He added that the chances of reaching that threshold will increase over time.

The UN Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has identified 1.5 degrees Celsius as a key point.

“These are more than statistics,” WMO Secretary-General Better Talas said in a statement. “Rising temperatures have a greater impact on ice, higher sea levels, higher heat waves and other extreme weather events and on food security, health, the environment and sustainable development,” he explained.

By signing Paris Agreement, Countries around the world have agreed to control global warming to less than 2 degrees below pre-industrial levels. The agreement stated that it is better to keep the global temperature below 1.5 degrees.

Call for urgent action against climate change

However, the world is approaching the climax. The WMO predicts that the average annual temperature over the next five years will be at least 1 degree higher than pre-industrial levels, which is likely to be in the range of 0.9 to 1.8 degrees above.

The organization added that 2020 will be one of the three warmest years on record, with the global average being 1.2 degrees above pre-industrial levels.

According to the WMO, there is a 90% probability that at least one record will become warmer between 2021 and 2025, higher than 2016 in the rankings, according to the UK Meteorological Office, according to the Annual Climate Update Decade (global first-decade climate update). Is the core of the WMO.

Thalas said this was another reason to take urgent action against climate change.

“We are approaching the low (temperature rise) target of the Paris Agreement on climate change in a measurable and inevitable way,” he said. “The world must accelerate its commitment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and achieve carbon neutrality.”

The IPCC has said that global greenhouse gas emissions should reach net zero by 2050 to achieve the Paris target. Many countries have pledged carbon neutrality by the middle of the century and many large economies – United States, UK and Canada – recently updated their short-term emissions reduction targets.

However, the UN has warned it Details on how they plan to get there They are still lazy.