Climate change could force more than 200 million people to flee their homes over the next three decades And create migration zones Emergency measures The World Bank report concluded that to reduce global emissions and fill the growth gap.
The second part of the report entitled Groundswell Released on Monday, it explores the impact of slow-moving climate change The report describes water shortages, declining crop production and rising sea levels as “climate migrants” to millions of people. By 2050 Three different scenarios for different levels of climate activity and growth.
At Very hopeless situation, With high emissions and random growth, the report predicts 216 million people will migrate to their home countries in the six areas analyzed: Latin America; North Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa; Eastern Europe and Central Asia; South Asia; And East Asia and the Pacific.
At Less serious situation, With low emissions and inclusive and steady growth, count Immigrants may be as low as 80% But that, too, would mean approximate displacement 44 million people.
The report did not analyze the implications Short term Climate change as effects of extreme weather events
Findings “They reaffirm the climate’s potential to stimulate immigration into countries.”Said Vivian Weinsen Clement, a World Bank senior climate change expert and author of the report.
In the worst case Sub-Saharan Africa The most vulnerable area due to desertification, weak beaches and people relying on agriculture –It will be one that records the most movement, 86 million climate migrants are relocating within national borders.
No study report has been submitted in this regard Climate migration Beyond one’s own national boundaries.
(With AB info)
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