MIAMI, Florida – Tropical Storm Nicole, which formed as a subtropical storm in the Atlantic on Monday, is on the verge of becoming a hurricane as it strengthens on Tuesday and heads northeast of the Bahamas. The system will approach eastern Florida late Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.
According to him This Tuesday at 10pm ET According to the National Hurricane Center, the system was located about 150 miles east-northeast of Great Abaco Island and 325 miles east of West Palm Beach, Florida.
The tornado had maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and was moving west at 10 mph.
Part of South Florida remains in the system’s track cone, though the storm will begin to climb over the Bahamas before reaching the state.
Notifications and monitoring are in place
A storm surge watch extended westward across Florida from the Oglegonee River to Indian Pass.
Tornado warning
- Abacos, Perry, Bimini and Grand Bahama Islands in the northwestern Bahamas
- Boca Raton to the Flagler/Volusia County line, Florida
Tropical Storm Warning
- Andros Islands, New Providence and Eleuthera in the northwestern Bahamas
- Hallandale Beach, Florida to Boca Raton, Florida
- Flagler/Volusia County Line, Florida, Altamaha Sound, Georgia
- Lake Okeechobee
Storm surge warning
- North Palm Beach, Florida, Altamaha Sound, Georgia
- Mouth of the St. Johns River in Georgetown, Florida
Hurricane Watch
- From Hallandale Beach to Boca Raton, Florida
- Lake Okeechobee
- From the Flagler/Volusia County line to Ponte Vedra Beach
Storm surge monitoring
- Altamaha Sound south of North Palm Beach, Georgia
- Mouth of the St. Johns River in Georgetown, Florida
Tropical Storm Watch
- Just north of Florida’s Ocean Reef, south of Hallandale Beach
- North of Bonita Beach to Florida’s Ochogonee River
- North of Altamaha Sound in Georgia to south of the Santee River in South Carolina
Future plans for Hurricane Nicole
Westward west-northwestward movement is forecast to begin Wednesday afternoon, followed by a turn toward the northwest Thursday and Thursday night.
Nicole’s eye will approach the northwestern Bahamas tonight and move near or over those islands on Wednesday. It will approach Florida’s east coast into a hurricane warning area Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.
By Thursday, Nicole’s eye is expected to move across central and northern Florida and southern Georgia Thursday night.
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A hurricane in November in Florida is unusual
November is the last month of hurricane season, when tropical activity generally begins to wane. However, the 2022 hurricane season has been pushed back and all storms impacting the Atlantic this year formed after August.
Florida has been hit by tropical systems in November nine times in the past 170 years, a 5% chance in any given year.
Seven of those nine are from the Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. That makes this week’s developing system, if it converges and hits Florida, extremely rare.
For now, the forecast indicates that rain will increase in frequency and intensity as we approach the middle of the week. It is increasingly windy, dangerous sea conditions and a high risk of rip currents.
According to an analysis by meteorologist John Morales, winds and tides combined with a full moon and rising sea levels to create significant coastal flooding make climate change worse. Communities near Fort Lauderdale, Miami Beach, Miami Shores, Biscayne Boulevard, Edgewater, Coconut Grove, Coral Gables and the Florida Keys should prepare for flooding.
Flooding continues in Volusia County. In the Deltona area, residents are complaining that more garbage is not being picked up.
