The consequences if the predictions come true could be disastrous
the Oceans They are an essential part of the planet. We often enjoy the tides when we walk on the beach, although they can also cause destruction, so you need to know how to survive a tsunami. These giant bodies of water impactFor example, In the weather And this is why Collapses An essential part of its structure can Turn on all alarms.
The collapse of AMOC and the future of humanity
Recently, thanks Article published in Science AdvancesWe were able to find out One of the most important currents on the planet could Collapses Before the end of the twenty-first century.
René van Westen, from Utrecht University, and the rest of the team who wrote the article appear A The black future of the planet, which we must be prepared for. And we talk about AMOC currentwhich seems to hold slowing down From mid Twentieth century.
The probability of this happening is 95% between 2025 and the end of the century.
Physics-based early warning signal shows AMOC is on its way to transformation Advancement of science https://t.co/nIRxYoMbdN
– Vicente P. Munuzuri (@VicenteMunuzuri) February 10, 2024
the South overturn circulation in the Atlantic Oceanknown as AMOC, is Current ocean system Who is responsible for Seawater transportation warm North From the planet. There it cools and becomes denser, so currents from other oceans transport it to the bottom and return it to the south.
he problem It is that sea water Every time she has Lower salt concentrationThis causes the sinking process to stop and the entire cycle to become much weaker. Through computer models, expert researchers were able to discover that Deviation point It is getting closer and we can see the AMOC system collapsing in The coming decades.
📝 These days, a new study was published on the possibility of the collapse of the Gulf Stream. What is it and what consequences can it have? #Gulf Stream #I love J @euskaltelebista pic.twitter.com/egPKAnhiGm
– Arnitz Fernandez (@Armeteo) February 11, 2024
Given that the AMOC system has only been observed since 2004, Researchers will need more time for analysis For all variables to be able Reducing this tipping point In time, although they stress that this may arrive sooner than many experts assert. Stefan Rahmstorf, V Data collected by RealClimate Mediastates that “New The study confirms previous concerns Climate models systematically overestimate the stability of the AMOC.
However AMOC collapse It's not something new on our planet, because it seems to be a cyclical thing. naturally, consequences It can be devastating. imagine – The sea rises to one metre Average level, The temperature will rise in the southern hemisphere More and more Northern hemisphere this He will come downWinds will be stronger and rainfall less, causing and possible change in our agricultural systems Collapse of society That we know.
